沙田 · 2020-12-26
第 2場
2020-12-26沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H W Lai策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MOON PEAKS勝出，贏出1/2。DESTINE JEWELLERY獲得亞軍；JIANGXI STAMINA獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門GOLDEN MISSION跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MOON PEAKS B/H 1.10.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GOLDEN MISSION C Soumillon · C W Chang | C Soumillon | C W Chang | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON CP/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL B/TT1 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 82.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | GALAXY EMPEROR B/H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 13 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 3 | 173.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR B C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 11 | 140.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | VEGA RHYTHM H N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 12 | 100.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 16.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 24.9% | 4.01 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 22.6% | 4.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 17.9% | 5.58 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 6.3% | 15.99 | 14 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.2% | 16.09 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.0% | 24.79 | 13 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 2.8% | 35.59 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | MOON PEAKS | 2.7% | 37.07 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 2.4% | 41.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | VEGA RHYTHM | 2.3% | 43.35 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 2.2% | 44.96 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPREME PATROL | 2.0% | 49.92 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR | 2.0% | 50.98 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.6% | 61.46 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 127.5
PLACE
1 65.5
2 22
8 34.5
QUINELLA
2,8 603
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 196.5
1,8 403
2,8 173
FORECAST
8,2 1,351
TIERCE
8,2,1 22,236
TRIO
1,2,8 2,909
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 2,512
QUARTET
8,2,1,7 87,124
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 25
1/8 428
3 PICK 1
A3 35
A2 —
A1 —