沙田 · 2020-12-26
第 9場
2020-12-26沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的GLORIOUS ARTIST勝出，贏出1。MAGNIFICENT獲得亞軍；RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門ELUSIVE STATE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLORIOUS ARTIST 後段發力 1.38.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT 早段領放 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 89.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 6 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | RED DESERT 後段發力 T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 5 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | BEAUTY LEGACY TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | STAR PERFORMANCE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | INSAYSHABLE 後段發力 C Soumillon · Y S Tsui | C Soumillon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 69.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GREEN LUCK V-/PC1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | HOLY HEART PC/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 31 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HOLY HEART | 28.8% | 3.47 | 13 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.0% | 9.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | GREEN LUCK | 8.9% | 11.27 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | ELUSIVE STATE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | INSAYSHABLE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | ELITE PATCH | 7.6% | 13.17 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 5.1% | 19.56 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 4.5% | 22.16 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | RED DESERT | 4.1% | 24.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 3.4% | 29.00 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | MAGNIFICENT | 1.5% | 67.56 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | BERLIN TANGO | 0.7% | 140.76 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 104
PLACE
5 27.5
8 23.5
12 241.5
QUINELLA
5,12 5,515
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 118
5,12 1,338.5
8,12 1,313
FORECAST
5,12 4,148
TIERCE
5,12,8 46,155
TRIO
5,8,12 12,435
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 5,358
QUARTET
5,12,8,1 211,989
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 39
8TH DOUBLE
10/5 5,120.5
10/12 4,636