Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. FLYING QUEST, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with TIANCHI MONSTER second and RELIABLE TEAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite BUTTERFIELD finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B 2.01.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 58.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | RELIABLE TEAM Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | PANFIELD TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 1 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | LAKESHORE EAGLE B T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 5 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | THINKIN' BIG B/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 10 | 6.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ENJOYING B/XB C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.1 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THINKIN' BIG | 27.6% | 3.62 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | BUTTERFIELD | 24.4% | 4.09 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | ENJOYING | 12.5% | 8.01 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 7.4% | 13.59 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 6.3% | 15.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | PANFIELD | 5.3% | 18.90 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.9% | 20.45 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 4.0% | 25.23 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | RELIABLE TEAM | 3.9% | 25.47 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | FLYING QUEST | 3.7% | 27.21 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 588
PLACE
3 53
7 30
10 114.5
QUINELLA
7,10 2,389
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 175.5
3,10 787.5
7,10 484.5
FORECAST
10,7 3,662
TIERCE
10,7,3 44,117
TRIO
3,7,10 5,235
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 7,632
QUARTET
10,7,3,1 212,428
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,14/3,7,10 1,465,631
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/7 153
7/10 4,566