Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK Closed strongly 1.21.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | LEWIS Closed strongly B/XB/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 25.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ Led early B/H1 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS B1/TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 3 | 7.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 14 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 69.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly XB1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 74.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE B N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 5 | 106.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY QIJI H/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 21.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 31.0 | 24-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. JUNEAU PARK, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by SH, with LEWIS second and KA YING EXCELLENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite KA YING EXCELLENT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 28.8% | 3.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 18.5% | 5.41 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK | 12.5% | 8.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.7% | 14.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 6.5% | 15.36 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 5.4% | 18.50 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 5.4% | 18.56 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 4.8% | 20.84 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | LEWIS | 4.1% | 24.47 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 2.1% | 46.69 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY QIJI | 1.5% | 64.66 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | AI ONE | 1.4% | 70.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 1.4% | 72.00 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 0.9% | 114.37 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 124.5
PLACE
2 72.5
9 12.5
14 35
QUINELLA
2,14 1,637
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 102
2,14 444.5
9,14 54
FORECAST
14,2 3,704
TIERCE
14,2,9 10,105
TRIO
2,9,14 814
FIRST 4
2,9,12,14 3,346
QUARTET
14,2,9,12 115,151
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
1/2 123
1/14 230.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,9,14 19,656
SIX UP
2,11/3,7/7,10/5,12/1,2/2,14 99,116
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
5/1/2 1,153
5/1/14 3,409