Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly 1.34.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H/P N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 177.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | STAY CHILL Closed strongly T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 57.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | MERCURIAL XB C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 11 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLETPROOF B C Soumillon · P F Yiu | C Soumillon | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 1 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 8 | 121.0 | 22-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CASIMIRO, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 2, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and SUN OF MAKFI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite ROBOT WARRIOR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 20.8% | 4.82 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 12.6% | 7.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 8.6% | 11.67 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST PACE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 8.5% | 11.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 7.5% | 13.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 4.7% | 21.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 4.0% | 25.09 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 2.7% | 37.24 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 2.1% | 47.28 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 1.4% | 69.05 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 1.2% | 85.77 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 109.5
PLACE
3 23.5
7 34.5
14 35.5
QUINELLA
3,7 293
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 102.5
3,14 160
7,14 149.5
FORECAST
7,3 562
TIERCE
7,3,14 11,317
TRIO
3,7,14 1,437
FIRST 4
3,6,7,14 1,639
QUARTET
7,3,14,6 49,959
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 28
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/3 69.5
11/7 770.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,11/2,7,11/3,7,14 4,751,320
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,11/2,7,11/Any Combination 95,026