Sha Tin · 2020-12-26
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B-/V1 1.39.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB/B1 C Soumillon · D E Ferraris | C Soumillon | D E Ferraris | 2 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | KING'S RACE Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 12 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 124.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | APEX TOP Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 11 | 9.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 22.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 4 | 65.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 6.3 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL CP M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 5 | 84.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HERO TIME Led early B V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 8 | 130.0 | 27-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-12-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. DOUBLE TAKE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with UNITE SPIRIT second and CROWN AVENUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite UNITE SPIRIT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 12.4% | 8.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 11.6% | 8.62 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 11.4% | 8.80 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 9.5% | 10.57 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S RACE | 6.5% | 15.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HERO TIME | 6.1% | 16.48 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | APEX TOP | 4.7% | 21.26 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 2.4% | 41.70 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA | 2.0% | 51.08 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 1.2% | 80.24 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 1.1% | 90.40 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 0.7% | 137.71 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 65
PLACE
2 18
7 23
11 20
QUINELLA
2,11 145
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 56
2,11 54
7,11 69
FORECAST
11,2 350
TIERCE
11,2,7 1,179
TRIO
2,7,11 202
FIRST 4
2,7,8,11 538
QUARTET
11,2,7,8 11,714
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 66
3/11 628.5