Sha Tin · 2021-01-24
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 14 | 7.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS B-/XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V C Soumillon · K L Man | C Soumillon | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | APEX TOP Led early B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | WISDOM PATCH XB/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA CP1/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 4 | 105.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | OH BRAVO TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 7 | 119.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 60.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | AION B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 245.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER HERO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with CHARITY GRACE second and PARTY GENIUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite FORTUNE MASTER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 35.8% | 2.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 18.1% | 5.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 12.3% | 8.16 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 6.9% | 14.44 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | APEX TOP | 4.9% | 20.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 4.6% | 21.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 4.4% | 22.48 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.9% | 34.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 2.9% | 35.01 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | WISDOM PATCH | 2.3% | 44.22 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION | 1.9% | 53.40 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 1.7% | 58.44 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 1.0% | 103.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | AION | 0.4% | 281.31 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 42
PLACE
4 25.5
7 18
14 31.5
QUINELLA
4,7 214.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 72
4,14 95.5
7,14 84.5
FORECAST
7,4 312
TIERCE
7,4,14 2,410
TRIO
4,7,14 521
FIRST 4
4,5,7,14 300
QUARTET
7,4,14,5 7,147
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/4 632
6/7 1,604
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5