Sha Tin · 2021-01-24

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 8 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-24 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and KA YING STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.33.35

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	1	GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	6	126 lb	1.2	HD
2	2	SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes	K Teetan	C Fownes	2	126 lb	11.0	HD
3	4	KA YING STAR Led early V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz	Z Purton	A S Cruz	1	126 lb	15.0	3/4
4	3	WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size	J Moreira	J Size	8	126 lb	11.0	1-1/2
5	5	RISE HIGH Closed strongly XB C Soumillon · C Fownes	C Soumillon	C Fownes	7	126 lb	17.0	2-1/2
6	7	MORE THAN THIS CP- K C Leung · K W Lui	K C Leung	K W Lui	4	126 lb	31.0	2-3/4
7	8	CHAMPION'S WAY TT A Badel · J Size	A Badel	J Size	3	126 lb	34.0	4-3/4
8	6	MIGHTY GIANT B N Callan · P F Yiu	N Callan	P F Yiu	5	126 lb	85.0	6

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21

The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (43.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	1	GOLDEN SIXTY	43.8%	2.28	1	1.2
2	3	WAIKUKU	14.7%	6.79	4	11.0
3	5	RISE HIGH	9.8%	10.25	5	17.0
4	8	CHAMPION'S WAY	8.9%	11.24	7	34.0
5	4	KA YING STAR	8.9%	11.28	3	15.0
6	2	SOUTHERN LEGEND	8.0%	12.44	2	11.0
7	6	MIGHTY GIANT	3.6%	27.62	8	85.0
8	7	MORE THAN THIS	2.3%	44.40	6	31.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 12

PLACE

1 10.1

2 20.5

4 30

QUINELLA

1,2 39

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 19

1,4 28

2,4 81.5

FORECAST

1,2 51

TIERCE

1,2,4 248

TRIO

1,2,4 92

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 62

QUARTET

1,2,4,3 612

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

10,13,14/1,2,4 53,370

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12

6TH DOUBLE

14/1 184.5

14/2 365

WINNING TRAINER

B2 —

B4 —

B3 —

B1 11.5

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