Sha Tin · 2021-01-24
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT 1.47.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 39.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 14 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 9.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 8.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 13 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 126.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 14.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 3 | 53.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 9 | 9.9 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY FORTUNE Led early H-/P/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 57.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT CP/SB/XB/TT C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.3 | 31-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-24 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PAKISTAN FRIEND, ridden by T Piccone and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with SHADOW BREAKER second and EZRA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FAMILY LEADER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 31.3% | 3.19 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 12.0% | 8.36 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 10.8% | 9.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 9.2% | 10.89 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 8.0% | 12.52 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 7.6% | 13.17 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.0% | 25.19 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | EZRA | 3.4% | 29.82 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 3.0% | 33.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 2.8% | 35.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.8% | 35.77 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 2.7% | 36.58 | 2 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 1.3% | 75.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 1.2% | 86.52 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 332
PLACE
2 62
6 94.5
10 103
QUINELLA
6,10 5,706
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 866
2,10 944
6,10 1,393
FORECAST
6,10 12,201
TIERCE
6,10,2 164,570
TRIO
2,6,10 32,900
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 82,664
QUARTET
6,10,2,12 2,276,008
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/6 839.5
8/10 176
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A1 —
A2 —