Sha Tin · 2021-01-24
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E 1.33.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH Led early B/H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHADOW HERO B-/CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 3.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 14 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE SUMMIT CP1/XB1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 6 | 244.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 13 | 192.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MAXIMUS SR C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 3 | 39.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY XB N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | — | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TSAR T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ENRICH DELIGHT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-24 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL, ridden by B Shinn and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with LUCKY EXPRESS second and TOURBILLON DIAMOND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SKY DARCI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY DARCI | 23.9% | 4.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY PATCH | 15.1% | 6.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 13.0% | 7.71 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SHADOW HERO | 12.0% | 8.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 9.9% | 10.11 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 8.1% | 12.32 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 7.3% | 13.62 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | MAXIMUS | 4.3% | 23.39 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 3.4% | 29.38 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.1% | 47.29 | — |
| 11 | 0 | THE SUMMIT | 0.4% | 228.21 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 0.4% | 235.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 233
PLACE
2 58
5 21.5
6 27
QUINELLA
2,5 822
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 237.5
2,6 239.5
5,6 109.5
FORECAST
2,5 2,763
TIERCE
2,5,6 11,496
TRIO
2,5,6 1,550
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 3,669
QUARTET
2,5,6,10 99,208
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 214
1/5 27
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B4 —
B1 —
B2 62.5