Sha Tin · 2021-01-24
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN 1.08.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY LEGEND B-/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG PARTY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR V1 Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FAT TURTLE B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BUDDIES H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 5 | 7.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRONGER CP/XB/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 10 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING STAR C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 43.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-01-24 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOT KING PRAWN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with REGENCY LEGEND second and BIG PARTY third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 38.7% | 2.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 18.3% | 5.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH | 8.5% | 11.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FAT TURTLE | 6.4% | 15.57 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 5.7% | 17.48 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER | 5.1% | 19.43 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | BIG PARTY | 5.1% | 19.54 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | STRONGER | 3.9% | 25.97 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BUDDIES | 3.4% | 29.83 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING STAR | 2.8% | 36.34 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY LEGEND | 2.1% | 47.12 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 21.5
PLACE
1 12.5
7 84
11 51
QUINELLA
1,11 253.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 126
1,11 91
7,11 880
FORECAST
1,11 570
TIERCE
1,11,7 7,864
TRIO
1,7,11 1,805
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 1,558
QUARTET
1,11,7,2 30,065
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 197.5
2/11 594.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 14.5
B3 —
B1 —
B2 —