Happy Valley · 2021-01-27
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.40.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 7 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR E/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 2.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM Closed strongly H/CP1/TT1 N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 11 | 106.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR Led early TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 217.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 20.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EVEN KEEL B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 6 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 4 | 51.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 31.0 | 24-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA LEGEND, ridden by C Soumillon and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3, with TAILOR MADE second and VIRTUS STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite HAPPY HOUR finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 20.9% | 4.79 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 17.6% | 5.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 12.1% | 8.25 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 11.0% | 9.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 10.6% | 9.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 7.1% | 14.14 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 6.7% | 15.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 6.3% | 15.94 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 2.9% | 34.60 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 2.2% | 45.82 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM | 1.9% | 52.87 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 0.8% | 120.01 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 37.5
PLACE
2 13.5
4 33.5
5 25.5
QUINELLA
2,4 171.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 57
2,5 55
4,5 151.5
FORECAST
2,4 328
TIERCE
2,4,5 1,883
TRIO
2,4,5 535
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 615
QUARTET
2,4,5,8 9,693
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/2 202.5
11/4 99
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —