Happy Valley · 2021-01-27
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DREAM WARRIORS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with V CHEVALIERS second and MISTER MONTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite CHARIZARD finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT 1.39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | MISTER MONTE Led early CP M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SHANGHAI GRACE Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 5.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CHARIZARD TT C Soumillon · D E Ferraris | C Soumillon | D E Ferraris | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly CP1/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | HAR HAR HEART B1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | STAR OF RED B1/H1/TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 36.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | DAILY BEAUTY | 18.3% | 5.46 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | PLAY WISE | 14.5% | 6.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | CHARIZARD | 11.1% | 9.04 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | DREAM WARRIORS | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 10.2% | 9.81 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | MONSTER KAKA | 4.8% | 20.91 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | MISTER MONTE | 4.0% | 24.99 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | GOOD DAYS | 3.3% | 30.05 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | DIVINE UNICORN | 2.5% | 39.48 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR OF RED | 1.5% | 65.92 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | HAR HAR HEART | 0.7% | 142.91 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 98
PLACE
4 18
8 33
11 61.5
QUINELLA
4,8 236.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 87
4,11 148
8,11 210
FORECAST
8,4 630
TIERCE
8,4,11 6,893
TRIO
4,8,11 1,027
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 2,327
QUARTET
8,4,11,9 54,074
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 536.5
2/8 3,428.5