Happy Valley · 2021-01-27
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT 1.38.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE ROCK Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 6 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT Closed strongly XB/TT C Soumillon · D J Whyte | C Soumillon | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Led early B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN SR A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 3 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DELIGHTFUL LAOS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with THE ROCK second and STAR SHINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite SUNSHINE WARRIOR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE ROCK | 22.3% | 4.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 16.0% | 6.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 11.1% | 9.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 10.4% | 9.60 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 7.8% | 12.88 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 7.3% | 13.63 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.1% | 14.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 4.2% | 23.69 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 3.6% | 27.50 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.1% | 48.02 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 65.5
PLACE
2 47.5
9 22.5
11 17
QUINELLA
9,11 182.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 176
2,11 152.5
9,11 66.5
FORECAST
9,11 343
TIERCE
9,11,2 4,207
TRIO
2,9,11 929
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 657
QUARTET
9,11,2,4 15,212
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/9 277.5
4/11 72