Happy Valley · 2021-01-27
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly 1.40.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 4.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 2 | 3.8 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly XB C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NOBLE STEED B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FARSHAD CP C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | SURREALISM Led early B A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 5 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | KASI FARASI C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 56.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | CABLE SPEED H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 12 | 183.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SAVAQUIN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by HD, with ROYAL BOMB second and HELENE WISDOM STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ROYAL BOMB finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 15.0% | 6.66 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 14.8% | 6.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.2% | 10.81 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 8.0% | 12.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | FARSHAD | 5.9% | 17.00 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPARK | 5.6% | 17.81 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 4.9% | 20.37 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.7% | 26.96 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.3% | 30.32 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 0.5% | 199.00 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 45.5
PLACE
4 18
5 24.5
8 18
QUINELLA
4,8 107.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 57
4,8 41
5,8 50.5
FORECAST
8,4 233
TIERCE
8,4,5 968
TRIO
4,5,8 225
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 230
QUARTET
8,4,5,1 5,078
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 32.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/4,5,8 23,409
8TH DOUBLE
9/4 40.5
9/8 373.5
SIX UP
4/2/8/4/9/8 698,756
4,9/2,3,10/4,8/3,4/9,11/4,8 949
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
4/9/4 184
4/9/8 1,352