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Happy Valley · 2021-01-27

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 0.57.17
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MOMENT OF POWER B 0.57.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 8 34.0 SH
2 0 WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 1 2.4 SH
3 0 MY MY MY XB1 K Teetan · F C Lor 3 8.3 N
5 0 CARRY THE DIAMOND B-/P1/TT- M Chadwick · R Gibson 5 12.0 1-3/4
6 0 VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho 4 7.8 2
7 0 FORZA ANGEL H N Wong · Y S Tsui 2 8.2 2-3/4
8 0 DR PROACTIVE C Y Ho · K H Ting 9 38.0 2-3/4
9 0 NEXTMODEL H-/TT C Soumillon · T P Yung 10 6.3 4
10 0 OFF THE REEL H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 6 22.0 4-1/4
11 0 GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris 11 42.0 5-3/4
— 0 HARMONY FIRE XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte — 13.0 3/4
— 0 SEA MONARCH M L Yeung · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MOMENT OF POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by SH, with WHISKEY NEAT second and MY MY MY third. The 2.4 favourite WHISKEY NEAT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOMENT OF POWER—2. WHISKEY NEAT+0.1L3. MY MY MY+0.05L5. CARRY THE DIAMOND+1.75L6. VIVA CHEF+2L7. FORZA ANGEL+2.75L8. DR PROACTIVE+2.75L9. NEXTMODEL+4L10. OFF THE REEL+4.25L11. GOUTEN OF GARO+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick WHISKEY NEAT (44.8%) finished 2nd — the winner MOMENT OF POWER was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WHISKEY NEAT 44.8% 2.23 2
2 0 MY MY MY 12.5% 8.00 3
3 0 VIVA CHEF 9.9% 10.05 6
4 0 NEXTMODEL 7.1% 14.12 9
5 0 GOUTEN OF GARO 5.8% 17.28 11
6 0 CARRY THE DIAMOND 5.3% 18.74 5
7 0 HARMONY FIRE 4.3% 23.07 —
8 0 MOMENT OF POWER 3.2% 31.14 1
9 0 OFF THE REEL 2.6% 38.34 10
10 0 DR PROACTIVE 2.4% 41.74 8
11 0 FORZA ANGEL 2.0% 51.00 7
WHISKEY NEATMY MY MYVIVA CHEFNEXTMODELGOUTEN OF GAROCARRY THE DIAMONDHARMONY FIREMOMENT OF POWER — wonOFF THE REELDR PROACTIVEFORZA ANGEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 347

PLACE

2 74.5

3 12.5

5 23

QUINELLA

2,3 335.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 121.5

2,5 304.5

3,5 38

FORECAST

2,3 975

TIERCE

2,3,5 6,215

TRIO

2,3,5 462

FIRST 4

2,3,4,5 1,463

QUARTET

2,3,5,4 42,330

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,9,12/2,5>3,10 21,163

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 31

4TH DOUBLE

4/2 421

4/3,10 10.5