Happy Valley · 2021-01-27
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-01-27 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MOMENT OF POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by SH, with WHISKEY NEAT second and MY MY MY third. The 2.4 favourite WHISKEY NEAT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MOMENT OF POWER B 0.57.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 34.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | MY MY MY XB1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 8.3 | N |
| 4 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B-/P1/TT- M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FORZA ANGEL H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | NEXTMODEL H-/TT C Soumillon · T P Yung | C Soumillon | T P Yung | 10 | 6.3 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | OFF THE REEL H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 11 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 10 | SEA MONARCH M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WHISKEY NEAT | 44.8% | 2.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | MY MY MY | 12.5% | 8.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | VIVA CHEF | 9.9% | 10.05 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | NEXTMODEL | 7.1% | 14.12 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 5.8% | 17.28 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 5.3% | 18.74 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | MOMENT OF POWER | 3.2% | 31.14 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | OFF THE REEL | 2.6% | 38.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE | 2.4% | 41.74 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | FORZA ANGEL | 2.0% | 51.00 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 347
PLACE
2 74.5
3 12.5
5 23
QUINELLA
2,3 335.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 121.5
2,5 304.5
3,5 38
FORECAST
2,3 975
TIERCE
2,3,5 6,215
TRIO
2,3,5 462
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 1,463
QUARTET
2,3,5,4 42,330
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,12/2,5>3,10 21,163
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 421
4/3,10 10.5