Happy Valley · 2021-02-10
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-10 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRESIDENT STAR, ridden by V Borges and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with TREASURE CHEST second and GALAXY RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite BABY STORM finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 2 | 6.3 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | TREASURE CHEST Led early B/XB B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.5 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly B2/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 14.0 | HD |
| 4 | 5 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 11 | 65.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly V1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GLENEALY PALS B-/H-/XB/TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 3 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BABY STORM H/P/TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 7 | 3.6 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | MANY GAINS N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | INDIGENOUS STAR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 5.5 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 23.0 | 19 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BABY STORM | 30.2% | 3.31 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | TREASURE CHEST | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 12.9% | 7.73 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | VIRTUS STAR | 7.9% | 12.72 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | PRESIDENT STAR | 5.8% | 17.32 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 4.5% | 22.24 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | MANY GAINS | 3.9% | 25.96 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY TURBO | 3.8% | 26.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | GALAXY RACER | 3.4% | 29.37 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | GLENEALY PALS | 2.5% | 39.66 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 2.5% | 40.54 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.7% | 59.80 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 63
PLACE
2 15.5
10 45
11 18
QUINELLA
2,11 125.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 123.5
2,11 44
10,11 155
FORECAST
11,2 381
TIERCE
11,2,10 3,037
TRIO
2,10,11 875
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 6,981
QUARTET
11,2,10,5 80,970
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/2 101
9/11 748
3 PICK 1
A2 19
A1 —
A3 —