Happy Valley · 2021-02-10
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P 1.50.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 5 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL POWER B/XB C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 136.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 64.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 38.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Led early CP V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-10 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DIONYSUS COLLIN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with OWNERS' STAR second and CHEERFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite OWNERS' STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 25.9% | 3.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 14.0% | 7.16 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | FULL POWER | 12.4% | 8.08 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 11.7% | 8.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 9.2% | 10.93 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 6.8% | 14.72 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 6.2% | 16.10 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.7% | 21.36 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 3.5% | 28.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 3.0% | 33.61 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.7% | 59.97 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 1.1% | 94.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 111
PLACE
6 13.5
8 33
11 27.5
QUINELLA
6,8 193
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 72
6,11 59
8,11 169
FORECAST
8,6 495
TIERCE
8,6,11 3,503
TRIO
6,8,11 638
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 773
QUARTET
8,6,11,9 18,339
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/6 43
11/8 609
3 PICK 1
A2 32.5
A1 —
A3 —