Happy Valley · 2021-02-10
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/4, with RIGHT HONOURABLE second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite GLORIOUS LOVER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B-/H/PC1/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY WARRIOR Led early H/V1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 8 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | VILLA FIONN B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.1 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT C Soumillon · W Y So | C Soumillon | W Y So | 7 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | STAR OF RED B-/H-/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 223.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FORTUNE P/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 112.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | TOP SCORE B/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 69.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GAMEPLAYER STAR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VILLA FIONN | 22.2% | 4.50 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 18.8% | 5.31 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT CROWN | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 12.0% | 8.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 9.5% | 10.49 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | EVER LAUGH | 8.0% | 12.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 6.5% | 15.47 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR | 3.9% | 25.77 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | TOP SCORE | 1.7% | 57.50 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 1.7% | 60.15 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 1.0% | 95.62 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR OF RED | 0.7% | 141.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 43
PLACE
3 18
5 16.5
6 38
QUINELLA
5,6 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 39
3,6 123
5,6 110
FORECAST
5,6 601
TIERCE
5,6,3 3,186
TRIO
3,5,6 503
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 466
QUARTET
5,6,3,4 12,241
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/5 173.5
7/6 122