Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WONDER WIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by N, with GOOD DAYS second and FORTUNE PATROL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GOOD DAYS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly 1.50.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 1 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 4 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly CP-/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 52.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B2 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS WIN Led early V V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SHINEALOT B2 Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GREAT SMART CP/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 12 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | SANGRIA Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY VICTOR TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | PLANET FLYER B H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 2 | 93.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOOD DAYS | 37.7% | 2.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | SHINEALOT | 18.2% | 5.49 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | WONDER WIN | 11.1% | 9.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 6.5% | 15.49 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | FORTUNE PATROL | 6.4% | 15.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | GENERAL DINO | 4.5% | 22.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SANGRIA | 4.0% | 25.16 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | GREAT SMART | 3.8% | 26.18 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 3.6% | 28.07 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | LUCKY VICTOR | 2.0% | 49.09 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.4% | 71.57 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | PLANET FLYER | 0.9% | 111.84 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 59
PLACE
1 15
5 18.5
10 33.5
QUINELLA
1,5 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 41.5
1,10 64
5,10 94
FORECAST
5,1 210
TIERCE
5,1,10 1,395
TRIO
1,5,10 323
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 4,954
QUARTET
5,1,10,12 65,823
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 28.5
A1 —