Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT 1.40.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 4.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | KIRAM Closed strongly T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 2 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly H-/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 8 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR H/V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WIND GLIDER B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 66.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | A A AGILITY B/TT- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 150.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 60.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RIGHT HONOURABLE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with THUNDER STOMP second and KIRAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite SUPERBELLA finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 35.7% | 2.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 14.8% | 6.75 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 9.0% | 11.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 9.0% | 11.14 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 5.4% | 18.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | KIRAM | 5.2% | 19.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 5.0% | 20.06 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 4.2% | 24.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.61 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 3.9% | 25.36 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 2.9% | 34.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 0.8% | 119.19 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44
PLACE
4 15
11 30.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
4,12 120
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 111
4,12 46.5
11,12 126
FORECAST
4,12 292
TIERCE
4,12,11 2,108
TRIO
4,11,12 654
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 485
QUARTET
4,12,11,5 11,097
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 344
5/12 73
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —