Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY FIELD TT 1.08.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 3.1 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | STRONGER CP/XB/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD CHEST B-/CP2/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 4 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING STAR A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING ACE B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 18.0 | 6 |
| — | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY FIELD, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with STRONGER second and GRATEFUL HEART third. The 2.8 favourite GRATEFUL HEART finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GRATEFUL HEART | 46.2% | 2.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY FIELD | 24.5% | 4.08 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 13.6% | 7.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | STRONGER | 4.3% | 23.33 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.1% | 24.50 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINING ACE | 3.5% | 28.60 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD CHEST | 1.9% | 51.72 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING STAR | 1.8% | 55.08 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 31
PLACE
2 28
5 12.5
9 12
QUINELLA
2,9 189
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 62.5
2,9 56
5,9 19.5
FORECAST
9,2 341
TIERCE
9,2,5 986
TRIO
2,5,9 139
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 69
QUARTET
9,2,5,3 2,387
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 100.5
3/9 387.5