Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RACING FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with HANDSOME BO BO second and KURPANY third. The 2.4 favourite KURPANY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT 1.09.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | KURPANY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | THE RUNNER CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 8 | 48.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | FALCON TURBO B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SMART LEADER B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 11 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SINCERE BOY B1 H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 147.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 12 | 159.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KURPANY | 38.6% | 2.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN | 17.8% | 5.62 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 8.4% | 11.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | HINCHINLOVE | 7.6% | 13.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 6.0% | 16.61 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | FALCON TURBO | 5.1% | 19.76 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | MASSIVE POCKET | 4.1% | 24.44 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.0% | 24.82 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | SMART LEADER | 3.0% | 32.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | THE RUNNER | 2.5% | 40.08 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | SINCERE BOY | 2.1% | 48.42 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 0.9% | 111.57 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 82.5
PLACE
2 36.5
4 21.5
7 13
QUINELLA
2,4 529.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 158.5
2,7 73
4,7 38
FORECAST
4,2 915
TIERCE
4,2,7 4,068
TRIO
2,4,7 357
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 611
QUARTET
4,2,7,6 19,258
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 33.5
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 128
3/4 306.5