Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly 1.38.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 9.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 9.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | THE ROCK Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 4.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | STAR SHINE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Led early H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 1 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT XB/B1/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.6 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT XB/H2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 39.0 | 24-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOLAR WAI WAI, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with FAST MOST FURIOUS second and THE ROCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SUNSHINE WARRIOR finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 30.6% | 3.27 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | THE ROCK | 24.9% | 4.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 10.9% | 9.14 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 10.1% | 9.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 9.7% | 10.27 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 6.5% | 15.41 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 4.8% | 20.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 1.8% | 55.60 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 0.6% | 158.16 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 92
PLACE
2 28.5
6 34
8 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 630.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 172.5
2,8 86.5
6,8 87
FORECAST
6,2 1,510
TIERCE
6,2,8 8,059
TRIO
2,6,8 1,035
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 650
QUARTET
6,2,8,3 24,951
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 81.5
4/6 644.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —