Happy Valley · 2021-02-24
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT 0.56.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 4.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | NORDIC WELLSTAR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 24.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 2.9 | N |
| 4 | 0 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 7 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BE READY B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON B H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 4 | 125.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM SMART XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 75.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AQUILA B/SB K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD B/TT2 H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 54.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GENTLE BREEZE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MR LUMIERES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ORION PATCH B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 97.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-24 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING GENIUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with NORDIC WELLSTAR second and JAZZ STEED third. The 2.9 favourite JAZZ STEED finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JAZZ STEED | 30.1% | 3.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING GENIUS | 16.5% | 6.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 14.3% | 7.00 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BE READY | 9.3% | 10.73 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | AQUILA | 9.1% | 10.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | MR LUMIERES | 7.7% | 12.93 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | NORDIC WELLSTAR | 4.9% | 20.41 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM SMART | 2.3% | 43.41 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GENTLE BREEZE | 2.2% | 45.54 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.6% | 62.22 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ORION PATCH | 1.2% | 86.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.8% | 122.33 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 43.5
PLACE
1 12.5
7 55.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 546
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 151.5
1,9 26.5
7,9 88.5
FORECAST
1,7 955
TIERCE
1,7,9 3,454
TRIO
1,7,9 422
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 231
QUARTET
1,7,9,2 8,583
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 571.5
6/7 512