Happy Valley · 2021-03-17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-17 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BUNDLE OF DELIGHT, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with PERFECT TO PLAY second and BRIGHT VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite NUNCHUKS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly 1.48.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | BRIGHT VISION Led early R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN CP-/B2/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 6 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOOD DAYS J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 9 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEERFUL STAR B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SHADOW BREAKER SR/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | BRAVE KING TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOOD DAYS | 29.2% | 3.43 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 11.5% | 8.71 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | NUNCHUKS | 10.7% | 9.37 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | BRAVE KING | 8.6% | 11.58 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART COUSIN | 8.2% | 12.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEERFUL STAR | 6.8% | 14.72 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | MAGNETISM | 5.8% | 17.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.3% | 23.29 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | RED ELYSEES | 4.1% | 24.26 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.0% | 24.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | BRIGHT VISION | 3.5% | 28.70 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 3.4% | 29.64 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 113
PLACE
1 37.5
6 29
9 87
QUINELLA
1,9 1,506
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 198
1,9 430
6,9 439.5
FORECAST
1,9 3,386
TIERCE
1,9,6 35,152
TRIO
1,6,9 4,960
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 7,421
QUARTET
1,9,6,5 190,734
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 1,651
2/9 819