Happy Valley · 2021-03-17
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KURPANY TT 1.08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HANDSOME BO BO TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WILL POWER XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING GEM CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 39.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HONG KONG BET TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GUNNISON M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | IGNITING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-17 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KURPANY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with HANDSOME BO BO second and WILL POWER third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KURPANY | 33.5% | 2.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | IGNITING | 26.5% | 3.77 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | WILL POWER | 11.6% | 8.59 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.2% | 19.28 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN | 4.2% | 23.83 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 4.1% | 24.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WE THE SOUTH | 3.8% | 26.28 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HANDSOME BO BO | 3.8% | 26.45 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | HONG KONG BET | 2.4% | 41.53 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD CHEST | 2.4% | 42.16 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | GUNNISON | 1.4% | 71.84 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 1.2% | 82.92 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 29
PLACE
1 37
6 35.5
11 13
QUINELLA
6,11 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 257.5
1,11 73
6,11 78.5
FORECAST
11,6 278
TIERCE
11,6,1 2,765
TRIO
1,6,11 770
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 580
QUARTET
11,6,1,12 11,173
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,12/1,6,11 705,552
8TH DOUBLE
12/6 626.5
12/11 2,215.5
SIX UP
3,4/2,6/1,9/1,4/7,12/6,11 111,708
3 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
4/12/6 9,449
4/12/11 27,734