Happy Valley · 2021-04-14
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS Closed strongly B 1.49.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WELL DRAGON B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Led early XB/SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WICKER B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 15.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRAVE POWER B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.1 | 16-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 10 | 12.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RUNNING GUY H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 4 | 117.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 7.8 | 23 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-14 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUCCESS ALLSTARS, ridden by V Borges and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 3/4, with WELL DRAGON second and AMAZING AGILITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite GOOD DAYS finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 31.7% | 3.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 20.0% | 4.99 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | WELL DRAGON | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 6.4% | 15.56 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 6.4% | 15.57 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 5.6% | 17.80 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 5.2% | 19.15 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 5.0% | 20.04 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | JIMMU | 3.7% | 26.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | WICKER | 2.7% | 37.45 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER | 2.4% | 41.41 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING GUY | 0.6% | 171.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 460.5
PLACE
3 23
9 19
11 114.5
QUINELLA
9,11 1,175
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 63.5
3,11 391
9,11 359
FORECAST
11,9 2,529
TIERCE
11,9,3 22,954
TRIO
3,9,11 2,459
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 5,255
QUARTET
11,9,3,2 140,449
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23
A1 —