Happy Valley · 2021-04-14
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-14 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STOCK LEGEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with EQUALETTA BLITZ second and TRANSCENDENT third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT 1.10.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 3 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 7.1 | N |
| 3 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE B/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CASIMIRO K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SICOMORO B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 32.8% | 3.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 17.4% | 5.76 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 13.6% | 7.34 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | JAZZ STEED | 9.6% | 10.37 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT | 8.0% | 12.43 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 7.2% | 13.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 6.8% | 14.75 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 1.9% | 51.79 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | CASIMIRO | 1.4% | 69.55 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | SICOMORO | 1.2% | 85.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 25
PLACE
1 20.5
4 12.5
8 43
QUINELLA
1,4 83
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 31.5
1,8 166.5
4,8 68.5
FORECAST
4,1 111
TIERCE
4,1,8 1,210
TRIO
1,4,8 437
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 271
QUARTET
4,1,8,9 4,197
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 50
5/4 87