Happy Valley · 2021-04-14
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 8 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 9.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART Led early B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AEROSONIC Closed strongly P2/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 75.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 61.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARIZARD B2/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING STEED B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 8.5 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-14 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with REGENCY MASTER second and DREAM WARRIORS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 32.1% | 3.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 15.1% | 6.63 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 11.6% | 8.65 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 9.8% | 10.25 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 6.6% | 15.23 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 5.8% | 17.26 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 5.2% | 19.19 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 4.4% | 22.48 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 3.3% | 30.31 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 2.7% | 37.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 2.5% | 39.38 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | AEROSONIC | 1.0% | 96.72 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 44
PLACE
2 34
4 28.5
5 18.5
QUINELLA
4,5 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 100
2,5 78
4,5 71.5
FORECAST
5,4 249
TIERCE
5,4,2 1,000
TRIO
2,4,5 210
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 219
QUARTET
5,4,2,6 3,113
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/2,4,5 133,768
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 29
4TH DOUBLE
8/4 215
8/5 935