Happy Valley · 2021-04-14
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B 1.39.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE Led early H Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 2 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING CITY CP C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | VITRALITE XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 45.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 7 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 85.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE V/TT- J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 8.5 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GIFT OF LIFELINE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 2-1/4, with SMOOTHIES second and FAST PACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite FAST PACE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 18.5% | 5.41 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE | 17.0% | 5.88 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 16.1% | 6.22 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 10.3% | 9.69 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SURREALISM | 9.5% | 10.57 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 8.1% | 12.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 6.1% | 16.45 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 5.0% | 20.10 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 4.5% | 22.14 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | VITRALITE | 2.2% | 44.80 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.4% | 70.97 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 1.4% | 73.36 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 70
PLACE
5 21.5
8 22
11 16.5
QUINELLA
5,8 208.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 72.5
5,11 43.5
8,11 44.5
FORECAST
5,8 494
TIERCE
5,8,11 1,826
TRIO
5,8,11 257
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 552
QUARTET
5,8,11,10 15,415
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 22.5
7TH DOUBLE
2/5 564.5
2/8 33