Happy Valley · 2021-04-14
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-14 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ENJOYABLE SUCCESS, ridden by H W Lai and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with JOY N FUN LEGEND second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SKY GEM finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B 1.50.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | JOY N FUN LEGEND Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SKY GEM Closed strongly PC- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | FAIRY FLOSS CP/H K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BABY STORM H/P/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY HOUR CP-/E/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 5 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | INDIGENOUS STAR R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 6 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | VIRTUS STAR Led early TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 8.5 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | SUNNY SMILE B/TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 4 | 60.0 | 24-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY HOUR | 26.7% | 3.74 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | SKY GEM | 18.9% | 5.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | FAIRY FLOSS | 17.6% | 5.70 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | BABY STORM | 11.0% | 9.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | VIRTUS STAR | 9.1% | 11.05 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | EVEN KEEL | 4.0% | 25.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 3.5% | 28.98 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 2.5% | 40.23 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.2% | 45.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | SOCCER MASTER | 2.0% | 49.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 1.6% | 60.66 | 1 |
| 12 | 1 | SUNNY SMILE | 0.9% | 110.73 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 185.5
PLACE
9 14
11 43.5
12 65
QUINELLA
11,12 1,405
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 137.5
9,12 243.5
11,12 407
FORECAST
11,12 2,534
TIERCE
11,12,9 20,757
TRIO
9,11,12 2,975
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 6,121
QUARTET
11,12,9,8 153,456
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/11 4,474
11/12 1,184
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 30.5
A1 —