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Sha Tin · 2021-05-30

Race 3

Group 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course B 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT 1.33.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 3 2.5 SH
2 0 HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 7 5.8 SH
3 0 NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 5 11.0 1-3/4
4 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT A Hamelin · J Size 1 22.0 1-3/4
5 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS M F Poon · D J Hall 4 25.0 2-1/2
6 0 KA YING STAR Led early V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 2 7.6 4-3/4
7 0 MORE THAN THIS K Teetan · C S Shum 6 2.9 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-30 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY DARCI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with HEALTHY HAPPY second and NOT USUAL TALENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY DARCI—2. HEALTHY HAPPY+0.1L3. NOT USUAL TALENT+1.75L4. CHAMPION'S WAY+1.75L5. FAST MOST FURIOUS+2.5L6. KA YING STAR+4.75L7. MORE THAN THIS+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SKY DARCI (48.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SKY DARCI 48.8% 2.05 1
2 0 KA YING STAR 16.6% 6.01 6
3 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 11.7% 8.58 2
4 0 MORE THAN THIS 7.7% 12.96 7
5 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 6.8% 14.66 4
6 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS 5.2% 19.23 5
7 0 NOT USUAL TALENT 3.1% 31.81 3
SKY DARCI — wonKA YING STARHEALTHY HAPPYMORE THAN THISCHAMPION'S WAYFAST MOST FURIOUSNOT USUAL TALENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 25

PLACE

5 20

6 13.5

7 29.5

QUINELLA

5,6 63

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 30.5

5,7 53.5

6,7 35.5

FORECAST

6,5 133

TIERCE

6,5,7 490

TRIO

5,6,7 127

FIRST 4

3,5,6,7 345

QUARTET

6,5,7,3 3,374

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

12/5 101

12/6 350

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 13.5

← Race 2 Race 4 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data