Sha Tin · 2021-05-30
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly V-/TT 1.48.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 13 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 5 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR Closed strongly V N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 14 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EVEN KEEL Led early B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 1 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 34.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT R Maia · W Y So | R Maia | W Y So | 12 | 19.0 | 27 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-30 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TAILOR MADE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with AMAZING AGILITY second and CHEERFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite APOLAR WARRIOR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 20.6% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 8.3% | 12.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 7.0% | 14.22 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 6.8% | 14.73 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 6.7% | 14.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 5.4% | 18.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 5.1% | 19.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EXALTATION | 4.5% | 22.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 3.6% | 27.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER | 3.2% | 31.70 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 3.0% | 33.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 1.7% | 59.56 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 105
PLACE
2 26
5 24
6 36
QUINELLA
5,6 506
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 100
2,6 157.5
5,6 163
FORECAST
6,5 696
TIERCE
6,5,2 7,233
TRIO
2,5,6 1,143
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 4,607
QUARTET
6,5,2,12 103,587
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5