沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 1場
2021-05-30沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的TAILOR MADE勝出，贏出N。AMAZING AGILITY獲得亞軍；CHEERFUL STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門APOLAR WARRIOR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 V-/TT 1.48.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 13 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 5 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | EXALTATION 後段發力 V/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | APOLAR WARRIOR 後段發力 V N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GREAT SMART 後段發力 CP/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 14 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY MISSILE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | THE JOY OF GIVING 後段發力 B/H A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | AMAZING LUCK 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | EVEN KEEL 早段領放 B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 1 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | YOU HAVE MY WORD B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 34.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT R Maia · W Y So | R Maia | W Y So | 12 | 19.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY MISSILE | 20.6% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | TAILOR MADE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 8.3% | 12.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY | 7.0% | 14.22 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 6.8% | 14.73 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | EVEN KEEL | 6.7% | 14.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | AMAZING LUCK | 5.4% | 18.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 14 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 5.1% | 19.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | EXALTATION | 4.5% | 22.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 3.6% | 27.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER | 3.2% | 31.70 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 3.0% | 33.42 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | GREAT SMART | 1.7% | 59.56 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 105
PLACE
2 26
5 24
6 36
QUINELLA
5,6 506
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 100
2,6 157.5
5,6 163
FORECAST
6,5 696
TIERCE
6,5,2 7,233
TRIO
2,5,6 1,143
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 4,607
QUARTET
6,5,2,12 103,587
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5