沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 10場
2021-05-30沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、D A Hayes訓練的NABOO ATTACK勝出，贏出1-1/4。MR CROISSANT獲得亞軍；TRILLION WIN獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門SIGHT SUCCESS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NABOO ATTACK 1.07.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MR CROISSANT CP T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 6 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | TRILLION WIN CP1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY PATCH B/H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 88.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SIGHT SUCCESS E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HONG KONG BET TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | THE CROWN M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | GREEN AEON H/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 4 | 70.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB2/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 14 | 114.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | LOCKHEED B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 32.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 33.3% | 3.00 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY PATCH | 19.0% | 5.26 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | TRILLION WIN | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | ALL IN MIND | 9.3% | 10.78 | 10 |
| 5 | 14 | WHEN YOU BELIEVE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | THE CROWN | 4.0% | 24.98 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | GREEN AEON | 2.8% | 35.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | LOCKHEED | 2.2% | 46.48 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | HONG KONG BET | 2.0% | 49.78 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | NABOO ATTACK | 2.0% | 50.49 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.0% | 51.11 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 1.5% | 68.49 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | MR CROISSANT | 1.2% | 84.27 | 2 |
| 14 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 0.6% | 158.85 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 171.5
PLACE
3 61.5
7 50.5
8 19
QUINELLA
3,7 1,580.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 420
3,8 264.5
7,8 146
FORECAST
7,3 2,668
TIERCE
7,3,8 17,057
TRIO
3,7,8 1,983
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 2,028
QUARTET
7,3,8,1 73,566
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,11/3,7,8 428,377
9TH DOUBLE
11/3 205.5
11/7 872.5
SIX UP
4,12/8,9/6,9/4,14/7,11/3,7 652,272
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
14/11/3 16,260
14/11/7 110,327