沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 9場
2021-05-30沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、K L Man訓練的DUBLIN STAR勝出，贏出1。WAR WEAPON獲得亞軍；ELIGERE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門MIGHTY VALOR跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT 1.08.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | WAR WEAPON TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | ELIGERE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 31.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ELON E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 2 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | AURORA PEGASUS TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 14 | 113.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | OUR CREED T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 13 | 77.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 10 | 86.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | SOARING TOWER M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 29.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR | 19.6% | 5.11 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 15.7% | 6.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER | 12.6% | 7.91 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO | 10.5% | 9.50 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | WAR WEAPON | 9.7% | 10.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | ELIGERE | 6.5% | 15.45 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | AURORA PEGASUS | 5.5% | 18.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | GOD OF DRAGON | 3.6% | 28.11 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | ELON | 2.8% | 36.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 2.6% | 37.78 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | SOARING TOWER | 1.8% | 54.91 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | OUR CREED | 1.5% | 65.97 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 1.0% | 95.59 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 61
PLACE
7 38
9 64.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
7,11 281
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 384.5
7,11 101
9,11 179.5
FORECAST
11,7 649
TIERCE
11,7,9 8,411
TRIO
7,9,11 2,245
FIRST 4
6,7,9,11 3,040
QUARTET
11,7,9,6 58,462
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
14/7 1,131.5
14/11 5,646.5