沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 7場
2021-05-30沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的SPEEDY MOUSE勝出，贏出1-1/2。WAR OF COURAGE獲得亞軍；STORM WARNINGS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE 1.08.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | PEGASUS GLORY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BIZ POWER B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD HEALTH B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 71.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | BABY B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 97.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 5.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | OUR CLASS ACT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 271.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | VITRALITE XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 2 | 80.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | WAR OF COURAGE | 15.9% | 6.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | STORM WARNINGS | 12.8% | 7.83 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.0% | 12.45 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | PEGASUS GLORY | 6.6% | 15.12 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | BIZ POWER | 4.3% | 23.10 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.5% | 28.87 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.4% | 29.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | GOOD HEALTH | 2.3% | 42.97 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | BABY | 1.7% | 59.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | VITRALITE | 1.0% | 102.17 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | OUR CLASS ACT | 0.4% | 239.69 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 34
PLACE
2 23.5
6 15.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
6,9 123
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 54
2,9 55
6,9 41.5
FORECAST
9,6 239
TIERCE
9,6,2 940
TRIO
2,6,9 177
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 319
QUARTET
9,6,2,11 4,742
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/2,6,9 525,197
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22
6TH DOUBLE
9/6 830.5
9/9 1,930