沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 2場
2021-05-30沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的LIGHT OF WANSHI勝出，贏出1-3/4。PLIKCLONE獲得亞軍；SPEED FAY FAY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門PURE LEGEND跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT 1.21.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | PLIKCLONE 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 早段領放 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD 後段發力 CP/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PURE LEGEND V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 2.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | SAM'S LOVE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | PRIME STAR 後段發力 B1/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 10 | 227.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 89.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SMART FOLKS P-/B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 12.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | IMMENSE HEDGE P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 77.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | PICHU H/XB/P1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 214.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PURE LEGEND | 23.8% | 4.20 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | PLIKCLONE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC | 10.9% | 9.19 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | SAM'S LOVE | 8.0% | 12.54 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 6.6% | 15.23 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.89 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SPEED FAY FAY | 5.8% | 17.24 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART FOLKS | 5.1% | 19.49 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | IMMENSE HEDGE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD | 4.9% | 20.50 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 4.6% | 21.60 | 1 |
| 12 | 7 | WISDOM PATCH | 3.4% | 29.00 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | PRIME STAR | 0.9% | 110.48 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | PICHU | 0.5% | 188.98 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 127.5
PLACE
3 28
10 26.5
12 34.5
QUINELLA
10,12 471
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 128
3,12 128
10,12 136.5
FORECAST
12,10 962
TIERCE
12,10,3 7,501
TRIO
3,10,12 1,385
FIRST 4
3,10,12,14 6,455
QUARTET
12,10,3,14 135,506
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/10 105
6/12 728.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 31.5
A1 —