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Sha Tin · 2021-05-30

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT 1.21.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 8 12.0 1-3/4
2 0 PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 1 9.7 1-3/4
3 0 SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 9 8.3 2-1/4
4 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Led early M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 12 42.0 2-1/2
5 0 SPRINT FORWARD Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes 7 36.0 3-1/4
6 0 PURE LEGEND V J Moreira · C Fownes 3 2.3 4-1/2
7 0 SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C H Yip 11 12.0 5-1/2
8 0 PRIME STAR Closed strongly B1/TT H T Mo · A T Millard 10 227.0 6
9 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 6 5.0 6-1/4
10 0 MY ECSTATIC TT H Bentley · F C Lor 13 29.0 7
11 0 WISDOM PATCH TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 2 89.0 7-1/4
12 0 SMART FOLKS P-/B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang 5 12.0 10
13 0 IMMENSE HEDGE P/TT A Badel · J Size 14 77.0 11-1/4
14 0 PICHU H/XB/P1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 4 214.0 19-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-30 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LIGHT OF WANSHI, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with PLIKCLONE second and SPEED FAY FAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite PURE LEGEND finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LIGHT OF WANSHI—2. PLIKCLONE+1.75L3. SPEED FAY FAY+2.25L4. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+2.5L5. SPRINT FORWARD+3.25L6. PURE LEGEND+4.5L7. SAM'S LOVE+5.5L8. PRIME STAR+6L9. PEACH BLOSSOMS+6.25L10. MY ECSTATIC+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick PURE LEGEND (23.8%) finished 6th — the winner LIGHT OF WANSHI was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PURE LEGEND 23.8% 4.20 6
2 0 PLIKCLONE 14.1% 7.10 2
3 0 MY ECSTATIC 10.9% 9.19 10
4 0 SAM'S LOVE 8.0% 12.54 7
5 0 PEACH BLOSSOMS 6.6% 15.23 9
6 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 6.3% 15.89 4
7 0 SPEED FAY FAY 5.8% 17.24 3
8 0 SMART FOLKS 5.1% 19.49 12
9 0 IMMENSE HEDGE 5.1% 19.64 13
10 0 SPRINT FORWARD 4.9% 20.50 5
11 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI 4.6% 21.60 1
12 0 WISDOM PATCH 3.4% 29.00 11
13 0 PRIME STAR 0.9% 110.48 8
14 0 PICHU 0.5% 188.98 14
PURE LEGENDPLIKCLONEMY ECSTATICSAM'S LOVEPEACH BLOSSOMSSEIZE THE SPIRITSPEED FAY FAYSMART FOLKSIMMENSE HEDGESPRINT FORWARDLIGHT OF WANSHI — wonWISDOM PATCHPRIME STARPICHU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 127.5

PLACE

3 28

10 26.5

12 34.5

QUINELLA

10,12 471

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 128

3,12 128

10,12 136.5

FORECAST

12,10 962

TIERCE

12,10,3 7,501

TRIO

3,10,12 1,385

FIRST 4

3,10,12,14 6,455

QUARTET

12,10,3,14 135,506

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/10 105

6/12 728.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 31.5

A1 —