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Sha Tin · 2021-05-30

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COPARTNER AMBITION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/2, with SMART WONGCHOY second and BLISSFUL STAR third. The 4.4 favourite BLISSFUL STAR finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COPARTNER AMBITION CP1/TT 1.08.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 10 8.3 1-1/2
2 12 SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte 11 6.7 1-1/2
3 5 BLISSFUL STAR H-/TT Z Purton · K H Ting 2 4.4 3
4 10 CORDYCEPS KING CP1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 14 35.0 3-1/4
5 14 DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung 5 139.0 3-1/2
6 2 JADE PHOENIX B K Teetan · F C Lor 9 8.2 3-3/4
7 1 EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT H Bentley · P F Yiu 8 7.5 4
8 3 WHISKEY NEAT H-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 3 9.9 4-3/4
9 13 ZACIAN B1 M Chadwick · A T Millard 6 11.0 5
10 6 SEE BINGO B1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 13 9.4 6
11 8 TRONIC MIGHTY C L Chau · D A Hayes 12 11.0 6
12 11 VICTORIA GENERAL H B Shinn · D J Hall 4 43.0 7-3/4
13 9 BOOMING WELL TT N Callan · C H Yip 1 73.0 7-3/4
14 7 SIMPLE DOCTRINE CP1/XB1 T Piccone · C W Chang 7 142.0 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER AMBITION2. SMART WONGCHOY+1.5L3. BLISSFUL STAR+3L4. CORDYCEPS KING+3.25L5. DAY DAY RICH+3.5L6. JADE PHOENIX+3.75L7. EXCELLENT CHARIOT+4L8. WHISKEY NEAT+4.75L9. ZACIAN+5L10. SEE BINGO+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SEE BINGO (28.7%) finished 10th — the winner COPARTNER AMBITION was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SEE BINGO 28.7% 3.49 10
2 5 BLISSFUL STAR 13.5% 7.42 3
3 2 JADE PHOENIX 9.9% 10.06 6
4 8 TRONIC MIGHTY 9.6% 10.41 11
5 12 SMART WONGCHOY 7.0% 14.23 2
6 3 WHISKEY NEAT 6.8% 14.66 8
7 4 COPARTNER AMBITION 6.0% 16.66 1
8 13 ZACIAN 4.6% 21.69 9
9 1 EXCELLENT CHARIOT 4.5% 22.23 7
10 11 VICTORIA GENERAL 2.9% 35.00 12
11 10 CORDYCEPS KING 2.1% 48.75 4
12 9 BOOMING WELL 1.9% 53.59 13
13 14 DAY DAY RICH 1.3% 74.19 5
14 7 SIMPLE DOCTRINE 1.2% 81.36 14
SEE BINGOBLISSFUL STARJADE PHOENIXTRONIC MIGHTYSMART WONGCHOYWHISKEY NEATCOPARTNER AMBITION — wonZACIANEXCELLENT CHARIOTVICTORIA GENERALCORDYCEPS KINGBOOMING WELLDAY DAY RICHSIMPLE DOCTRINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 83

PLACE

4 26.5

5 18.5

12 23.5

QUINELLA

4,12 314.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 98

4,12 111

5,12 75.5

FORECAST

4,12 795

TIERCE

4,12,5 4,681

TRIO

4,5,12 747

FIRST 4

4,5,10,12 2,660

QUARTET

4,12,5,10 71,812

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 16

A2

4TH DOUBLE

10/4 758

10/12 104.5