沙田 · 2021-05-30
第 5場
2021-05-30沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的COPARTNER AMBITION勝出，贏出1-1/2。SMART WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；BLISSFUL STAR獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門BLISSFUL STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP1/TT 1.08.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR H-/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 2 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | CORDYCEPS KING CP1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 14 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 139.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | JADE PHOENIX B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | WHISKEY NEAT H-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | ZACIAN B1 M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SEE BINGO B1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 9.4 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | VICTORIA GENERAL H B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 43.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | BOOMING WELL TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 1 | 73.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE CP1/XB1 T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 7 | 142.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEE BINGO | 28.7% | 3.49 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR | 13.5% | 7.42 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | JADE PHOENIX | 9.9% | 10.06 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY | 7.0% | 14.23 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | WHISKEY NEAT | 6.8% | 14.66 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 6.0% | 16.66 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | ZACIAN | 4.6% | 21.69 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 4.5% | 22.23 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 2.9% | 35.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | CORDYCEPS KING | 2.1% | 48.75 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | BOOMING WELL | 1.9% | 53.59 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.3% | 74.19 | 5 |
| 14 | 7 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 1.2% | 81.36 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 83
PLACE
4 26.5
5 18.5
12 23.5
QUINELLA
4,12 314.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 98
4,12 111
5,12 75.5
FORECAST
4,12 795
TIERCE
4,12,5 4,681
TRIO
4,5,12 747
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 2,660
QUARTET
4,12,5,10 71,812
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 16
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/4 758
10/12 104.5