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Sha Tin · 2021-05-30

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-30 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TEAM POWER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with LUCKY FUN second and LIFELINE VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite STAR PERFORMANCE finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.21.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 TEAM POWER Closed strongly 1.21.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · P F Yiu 8 56.0 3/4
2 4 LUCKY FUN Closed strongly TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum 7 5.2 3/4
3 7 LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly N Callan · D A Hayes 13 97.0 1
4 12 MERIDIAN GENIUS M F Poon · A T Millard 2 7.2 1-1/4
5 3 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E B Shinn · J Size 4 15.0 1-1/2
6 5 TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So 12 63.0 1-3/4
7 8 STAR PERFORMANCE CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 3 2.6 2
8 2 GOOD VIEW CLARICO Led early K H Chan · C H Yip 10 37.0 2-1/2
9 13 TANGMERE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 14 52.0 2-1/2
10 10 TRUE LEGEND B K Teetan · F C Lor 11 6.5 2-3/4
11 9 ENCOURAGED B K C Leung · K L Man 1 41.0 4-1/4
12 11 FIGHTING STAR XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 9.6 4-1/2
13 6 ROYAL AGILITY TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 9 225.0 4-1/2
14 1 SUNSET WATCH A Badel · K W Lui 5 18.0 11-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TEAM POWER—2. LUCKY FUN+0.75L3. LIFELINE VISION+1L4. MERIDIAN GENIUS+1.25L5. HEZA BEAUTY+1.5L6. TIANCHI MONSTER+1.75L7. STAR PERFORMANCE+2L8. GOOD VIEW CLARICO+2.5L9. TANGMERE+2.5L10. TRUE LEGEND+2.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick LUCKY FUN (38.3%) finished 2nd — the winner TEAM POWER was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 LUCKY FUN 38.3% 2.61 2
2 8 STAR PERFORMANCE 17.3% 5.79 7
3 1 SUNSET WATCH 13.2% 7.56 14
4 10 TRUE LEGEND 9.3% 10.77 10
5 11 FIGHTING STAR 4.5% 22.29 12
6 12 MERIDIAN GENIUS 4.2% 23.60 4
7 3 HEZA BEAUTY 3.7% 27.38 5
8 2 GOOD VIEW CLARICO 2.6% 38.29 8
9 5 TIANCHI MONSTER 2.3% 43.80 6
10 14 TEAM POWER 1.5% 65.59 1
11 13 TANGMERE 1.3% 77.03 9
12 7 LIFELINE VISION 1.0% 104.02 3
13 9 ENCOURAGED 0.5% 221.94 11
14 6 ROYAL AGILITY 0.4% 260.34 13
LUCKY FUNSTAR PERFORMANCESUNSET WATCHTRUE LEGENDFIGHTING STARMERIDIAN GENIUSHEZA BEAUTYGOOD VIEW CLARICOTIANCHI MONSTERTEAM POWER — wonTANGMERELIFELINE VISIONENCOURAGEDROYAL AGILITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 569

PLACE

4 18

7 215.5

14 122.5

QUINELLA

4,14 1,781.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 654

4,14 415

7,14 3,041.5

FORECAST

14,4 3,881

TIERCE

14,4,7 187,801

TRIO

4,7,14 29,697

FIRST 4

4,7,12,14 29,474

QUARTET

14,4,7,12 1,197,379

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 35

A2 —

7TH DOUBLE

9/4 23

9/14 1,530

← Race 7 Race 9 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99