Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN second and FLYING MONKEY third. The 3.0 favourite TELECOM MISSILE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 0.57.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V-/B1 K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 1 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ARDENODE TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | TELECOM MISSILE B-/TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SEVENTH SEA SR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 5 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SCENIC SWEETIE TT N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 6.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BOND A STAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | SEA MONARCH H/V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 88.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | DRAGON IN FIELD B1/TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 83.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART | 32.0% | 3.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | FLYING MONKEY | 13.8% | 7.23 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | ARDENODE | 12.2% | 8.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | TELECOM MISSILE | 11.2% | 8.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 9.4% | 10.68 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 6.7% | 14.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 5.9% | 16.83 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR | 2.9% | 34.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | BOND A STAR | 2.4% | 41.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | SEA MONARCH | 1.2% | 80.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.2% | 82.80 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | DRAGON IN FIELD | 0.9% | 107.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 132
PLACE
1 32.5
9 21
11 18.5
QUINELLA
1,9 441.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 137
1,11 87
9,11 61.5
FORECAST
1,9 847
TIERCE
1,9,11 4,388
TRIO
1,9,11 677
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 717
QUARTET
1,9,11,8 20,772
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A1 —
A3 —