Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING ROCKY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with PARTY WARRIOR second and HAPPY GOOD GUYS third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY H 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR H1 C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 5 | 57.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY TIME TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 51.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 3 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | VIVA HUNTER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 9.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 12 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | COLOSSALE B1/TT1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V-/B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY | 34.4% | 2.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GOODMANSHIP | 15.4% | 6.51 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 10.8% | 9.27 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | COLOSSALE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 7.7% | 12.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.2% | 19.18 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY TIME | 4.2% | 23.56 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR | 4.0% | 25.24 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | VIVA HUNTER | 2.7% | 37.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | DEMONS ROCK | 2.4% | 42.29 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 1.4% | 70.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | BULLISH BROTHER | 1.4% | 71.23 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 22
PLACE
1 30
2 12
5 135.5
QUINELLA
2,5 661.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 63.5
1,5 970
2,5 254
FORECAST
2,5 1,050
TIERCE
2,5,1 10,223
TRIO
1,2,5 2,195
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 5,409
QUARTET
2,5,1,9 99,329
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 443
1/5 1,047.5
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —