Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOODLUCK GOODLUCK, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with HIGH RISE SOLDIER second and CALIFORNIA CONCORD third. The 3.9 favourite EVER FORCE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B- 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | HERE COMES TED TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 3 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | THE RUNNER M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EVER FORCE B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MEANINGFUL STAR B C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 8 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY B2/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | WIND SPEEDER B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LINCOLN BRIGHT H/XB/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 113.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EVER FORCE | 33.8% | 2.96 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | HERE COMES TED | 22.7% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 10.8% | 9.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 10.0% | 10.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | THE RUNNER | 6.3% | 15.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 4.3% | 23.53 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY | 4.0% | 25.31 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 3.8% | 26.60 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.5% | 28.84 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | WIND SPEEDER | 0.6% | 179.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | LINCOLN BRIGHT | 0.5% | 219.63 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 94.5
PLACE
1 29.5
3 15
9 29.5
QUINELLA
3,9 196
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 87
1,9 173
3,9 66
FORECAST
9,3 579
TIERCE
9,3,1 5,332
TRIO
1,3,9 727
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 527
QUARTET
9,3,1,10 16,991
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,10/1,3,9 71,506
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 31
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 103
10/9 1,369.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,10/3,6,10/Any Combination 6,003