Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A T Millard, won by HD, with EXCEPTIONAL NICE second and TOTAL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite HALL OF CHAMP finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 1 | 5.6 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 6.8 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 4 | 21.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 5 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FARSHAD CP K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | MEGA HEART XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 81.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | NABOO STAR B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLFMAN STAR Led early PC- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 75.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 8 | 31.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT | 16.7% | 6.00 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 15.1% | 6.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP | 14.8% | 6.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 11.9% | 8.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 11.8% | 8.46 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | TOTAL POWER | 7.5% | 13.28 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 6.1% | 16.47 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | NABOO STAR | 5.2% | 19.30 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | FARSHAD | 4.3% | 23.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLFMAN STAR | 2.6% | 39.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 2.5% | 39.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | MEGA HEART | 1.7% | 60.37 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 56.5
PLACE
8 21.5
9 56
11 19
QUINELLA
8,11 183
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 154
8,11 65.5
9,11 147.5
FORECAST
11,8 333
TIERCE
11,8,9 2,764
TRIO
8,9,11 917
FIRST 4
3,8,9,11 1,386
QUARTET
11,8,9,3 26,582
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/8,9,11 76,897
8TH DOUBLE
10/8 80.5
10/11 620
SIX UP
7,10/1,8/3,10/3,9/10,11/8,11 5,467
10/1/10/9/10/11 2,267,642
1 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
9/10/8 889
9/10/11 5,462