Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WINNING VOLATILITY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with METHANE second and RAINBOW LIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BRIGHT VISION finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly B 1.49.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | METHANE Closed strongly K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 8 | 8.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FAST PACE H C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | BRIGHT VISION A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 1 | 65.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | STUNNING IMPACT B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 11.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT N Callan · C S Shum | N Callan | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CROWN AVENUE Led early V R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 45.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER BULLET B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 101.0 | 46-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRIGHT VISION | 17.4% | 5.74 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | FAST PACE | 12.0% | 8.33 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | RED ELYSEES | 8.1% | 12.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 7.6% | 13.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | METHANE | 6.4% | 15.60 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | STUNNING IMPACT | 5.1% | 19.52 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.5% | 28.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER BULLET | 2.9% | 34.90 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | CROWN AVENUE | 2.2% | 45.42 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 140
PLACE
3 24.5
6 30.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
3,10 564.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 117
3,10 142
6,10 156
FORECAST
10,3 1,204
TIERCE
10,3,6 6,257
TRIO
3,6,10 1,151
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 3,947
QUARTET
10,3,6,4 91,648
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 25
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 52
1/10 675.5