Happy Valley · 2021-06-02
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB 1.40.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly CP/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 5 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR Led early XB J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING SWORD Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ROYAL RACER V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SHINING ON H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 3.8 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | STAY CHILL CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 35.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE B1/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 6 | 68.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-02 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUN OF MAKFI, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with ERNEST FEELING second and ON EXCEL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite REGENCY MASTER finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 29.3% | 3.41 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 15.9% | 6.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 9.5% | 10.56 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 9.1% | 11.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 6.0% | 16.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 5.5% | 18.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 4.9% | 20.59 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 4.3% | 23.45 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.0% | 32.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SHINING ON | 1.4% | 70.23 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE | 0.9% | 116.30 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 53.5
PLACE
7 21.5
9 36.5
10 20
QUINELLA
7,10 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 94
7,10 50.5
9,10 94.5
FORECAST
10,7 310
TIERCE
10,7,9 1,978
TRIO
7,9,10 376
FIRST 4
3,7,9,10 623
QUARTET
10,7,9,3 16,150
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/7 225.5
11/10 916