Happy Valley · 2021-09-22
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STAY CHILL Closed strongly CP K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MING WARRIOR Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 7 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 6.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART FOLKS B- H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 8 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SCHOLAR H/XB V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 2 | 114.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with SAVVY KINGMAN second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite SAVVY KINGMAN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 39.0% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 23.3% | 4.29 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 13.5% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 6.9% | 14.50 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 5.5% | 18.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.7% | 27.15 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | MING WARRIOR | 3.5% | 28.29 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 2.3% | 43.53 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 1.7% | 60.42 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SCHOLAR | 0.5% | 185.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 36.5
PLACE
1 16
2 14
5 15
QUINELLA
2,5 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 32.5
1,5 40
2,5 25.5
FORECAST
5,2 75
TIERCE
5,2,1 303
TRIO
1,2,5 84
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 394
QUARTET
5,2,1,7 3,725
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 17.5
5/5 73
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5